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Year 9 - Maths

Equally likely outcomes

Probability: possible outcomes

Unit Summary

This unit introduces and explores the concept of liklihood as a relative measure, and demonstrates multiple ways to represent likelihood such as Venn diagrams, tree diagrams and two-way tables.

Lesson Summary

You will learn to state when outcomes will be equally likely.

Key Notes

  • A set of possible outcomes can be stated.
  • Outcomes can be evaluated to decide how likely they are.
  • Outcomes with the same likelihood can be identified.

Vocabulary To Learn

  • Outcome: An outcome is a result of a trial.
  • Likelihood: Likelihood describes the chance that a particular event will occur.
  • Trial: A trial is a single predefined test.
  • Sample space: A sample space is all the possible outcomes of a trial. A sample space diagram is a systematic way of producing a sample space.

Common Mistakes To Avoid

  • Rolling a 6 on a dice is less likely to happen than rolling other numbers. Or ticket 001 is less likely to be drawn in a raffle than other tickets.

3 Quick Questions (With Answers)

1. Solve this in steps: explain the method from this lesson and why each step matters.

A set of possible outcomes can be stated. Outcomes can be evaluated to decide how likely they are.

2. Use this key word in a maths sentence and explain it clearly. 'Outcome'

An outcome is a result of a trial. Use this word when showing your method, then check your final answer is reasonable.

3. Spot and fix this common maths mistake.

Mistake: Rolling a 6 on a dice is less likely to happen than rolling other numbers. Or ticket 001 is less likely to be drawn in a raffle than other tickets. Correction: The random nature of picking a raffle or rolling a dice means all outcomes are equally likely as each other.

More Lessons In This Unit

Browse all guides in the Year 9 Maths guide library.