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Year 9 - Maths

Calculating theoretical probabilities from Venn diagrams (one event)

Probability: theoretical probabilities

Unit Summary

In this unit we build upon the concept of likelihood to work more mathematically with more measurable probability using fraction and decimal representations to both interpret and calculate. We revisit and develop ways to represent and compare probabilities.

Lesson Summary

You will learn to find theoretical probabilities from a Venn diagram showing the possible outcomes for one event.

Key Notes

  • The probability of an outcome can be found by considering a Venn diagram showing all possible outcomes.
  • The probability of a set of outcomes can be found by considering a Venn diagram showing all possible outcomes.
  • A Venn diagram can help us find a probability, even when the outcomes are not equally likely.

Vocabulary To Learn

  • Venn diagram: Venn diagrams are a representation used to model statistical/probability questions. Commonly circles are used to represent events.
  • Theoretical probability: A theoretical probability is a probability based on counting the number of desired outcomes from a sample space where all individual outcomes are equally likely.

Common Mistakes To Avoid

  • Pupils may count the number of outcomes and state this as the probability.

3 Quick Questions (With Answers)

1. Solve this in steps: explain the method from this lesson and why each step matters.

The probability of an outcome can be found by considering a Venn diagram showing all possible outcomes. The probability of a set of outcomes can be found by considering a Venn diagram showing all possible outcomes.

2. Use this key word in a maths sentence and explain it clearly. 'Venn diagram'

Venn diagrams are a representation used to model statistical/probability questions. Commonly circles are used to represent events. Use this word when showing your method, then check your final answer is reasonable.

3. Spot and fix this common maths mistake.

Mistake: Pupils may count the number of outcomes and state this as the probability. Correction: Remind pupils that the probability scale is between 0 and 1, so an answer of 3 is not correct.

More Lessons In This Unit

Browse all guides in the Year 9 Maths guide library.