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Year 9 - Maths

The probability scale

Probability: theoretical probabilities

Unit Summary

In this unit we build upon the concept of likelihood to work more mathematically with more measurable probability using fraction and decimal representations to both interpret and calculate. We revisit and develop ways to represent and compare probabilities.

Lesson Summary

You will learn to assign a numerical value to an outcome to give the probability that the outcome will occur.

Key Notes

  • Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an outcome happening.
  • An outcome can be assigned a numerical value from 0 to 1
  • The probability scales shows the numerical values that an outcome might have.

Vocabulary To Learn

  • Probability: The probability that an event will occur is the proportion of times the event is expected to happen in a suitably large experiment.

Common Mistakes To Avoid

  • Pupils think that 'likely' from the scale of likelihoods is only equal to a specific probability (e.g. 75%).

3 Quick Questions (With Answers)

1. Solve this in steps: explain the method from this lesson and why each step matters.

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an outcome happening. An outcome can be assigned a numerical value from 0 to 1.

2. Use this key word in a maths sentence and explain it clearly. 'Probability'

The probability that an event will occur is the proportion of times the event is expected to happen in a suitably large experiment. Use this word when showing your method, then check your final answer is reasonable.

3. Spot and fix this common maths mistake.

Mistake: Pupils think that 'likely' from the scale of likelihoods is only equal to a specific probability (e.g. 75%). Correction: All probabilities that are greater than 50% but less than 100% are equivalent to 'likely' on the scale of likelihoods.

More Lessons In This Unit

Browse all guides in the Year 9 Maths guide library.