Year 11 - Maths
Probabilities involving algebra
Conditional probability
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Year 11 - Maths
Conditional probability
In this unit, pupils use their knowledge of calculating theoretical probabilities and extend it to calculate conditional probabilities.
You will learn to work with algebraic statements using the fact that exhaustive events sum to 1.
Equations can be constructed when there is a known relationship between the probabilities of exhaustive events. Equations can be manipulated and solved to find missing probabilities.
The probability that an event will occur is the proportion of times the event is expected to happen in a suitably large experiment. Use this word when showing your method, then check your final answer is reasonable.
Mistake: Pupils may be unsure whether a variable represents a probability, frequency or a particular outcome. Correction: Variables can be used to represent either of these pieces of information. It can be helpful to start a problem by writing down what any variables represent (e.g. "Let x = the total number of marbles).
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