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Year 11 - Maths

Probabilities involving algebra

Conditional probability

Unit Summary

In this unit, pupils use their knowledge of calculating theoretical probabilities and extend it to calculate conditional probabilities.

Lesson Summary

You will learn to work with algebraic statements using the fact that exhaustive events sum to 1.

Key Notes

  • Equations can be constructed when there is a known relationship between the probabilities of exhaustive events
  • Equations can be manipulated and solved to find missing probabilities
  • Algebraic statements can be created regardless of the way the probabilities are displayed

Vocabulary To Learn

  • Probability: The probability that an event will occur is the proportion of times the event is expected to happen in a suitably large experiment.

Common Mistakes To Avoid

  • Pupils may be unsure whether a variable represents a probability, frequency or a particular outcome.

3 Quick Questions (With Answers)

1. Solve this in steps: explain the method from this lesson and why each step matters.

Equations can be constructed when there is a known relationship between the probabilities of exhaustive events. Equations can be manipulated and solved to find missing probabilities.

2. Use this key word in a maths sentence and explain it clearly. 'Probability'

The probability that an event will occur is the proportion of times the event is expected to happen in a suitably large experiment. Use this word when showing your method, then check your final answer is reasonable.

3. Spot and fix this common maths mistake.

Mistake: Pupils may be unsure whether a variable represents a probability, frequency or a particular outcome. Correction: Variables can be used to represent either of these pieces of information. It can be helpful to start a problem by writing down what any variables represent (e.g. "Let x = the total number of marbles).

More Lessons In This Unit

Browse all guides in the Year 11 Maths guide library.